prediction market 預測市場

prediction market 
繁: 預測市場
簡: 预测市场

預測市場（prediction market）可讓用戶就不同事件落注，輸贏綁定某一特定事件，最終結果決定取得的金錢價值，即假設市場當時認為特朗普當選的機會率是75%，此指數的價值就是75元，如特朗普最後真的勝出，指數價值便會升至100元，即有關事件已100%發生了。

籃球博彩稅煞停｜預測市場是甚麼？股市升跌、誰奪奧斯卡皆可下注 (2026年4月13日)。香港01，取自https://www.hk01.com/article/60339834?utm_source=01articlecopy&utm_medium=referral

The source revealed that the Club held a meeting with its Voting Members on Monday (Apr 13), during which it was mentioned that the basketball betting, originally scheduled for launch this year, must be paused due to the government notification to study the impact of the recently popular prediction market platforms in the United States on the activities.

Basketball betting rollout halted as govt evaluates impact of prediction market platforms: source (2026, Apr 13).The Standard.Retrieved from https://www.thestandard.com.hk/news/article/329198/