black swan event 黑天鵝事件

black swan event
繁：黑天鵝事件
简：黑天鹅事件

二○一六年對很多人來說，都是特別和艱辛的一年，傳媒在這年也多次引用「黑天鵝事件」來形容重大而罕見的新聞。綜觀全球政治經濟和社會趨勢，類似的「黑天鵝事件」將會陸續出現；倘若人們缺乏充足準備應付挑戰，隨時會變成「溫水煮蛙」的犧牲品。

張慧慈（2016年12月30日）。慧眼看世界——黑天鵝的啟示。頭條日報，取自 http://hd.stheadline.com/news/columns/13/20161230/528075

A black swan, according to Nassim Taleb, requires three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.

Wong, R. (2017, January 3). Why being messy is the best way to deal with black swan events. South China Morning Post. Retrieved from http://www.scmp.com/business/global-economy/article/2058895/why-being-messy-best-way-deal-black-swan-events